The plot shows three curves, one for each distribution, along with plotted points for the number of patrons per project. The plotted points match most closely to the curve for the log-normal distribution.

Plot showing attempts to fit a model for the number of patrons per Patreon project for a power-law distribution, exponential distribution, and log-normal distribution. Click for a higher-resolution version. Image by Frank Hecker; made available under the terms of the Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) Public Domain Dedication.

(My apologies, I couldn’t think of a clever headline for this.) In a comment on my “Life in Patreonia” post, @tekgo asked whether the number of patrons of Patreon projects was distributed in a similar way to the earnings for Patreon projects.

The short answer is “yes, it is.” The long answer is here. The in-between answer is that in the sample of about 218,000 projects, the number of patrons per project appears to have a log-normal distribution (like earnings), with a median number of 6 patrons per project. The chances of having more than 10 patrons is about 40%, the chances of having more than 100 is less than 10%, and the chances of having more than 1,000 is less than 1%.